Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 4.388832 4.716779 5.069591 5.479530 5.945518 6.462092 7.082774
2025-08-24 3.824758 4.267295 4.773996 5.405166 6.182178 7.124139 8.379918
2025-08-31 3.538562 4.049239 4.659692 5.459284 6.505010 7.867150 9.853100
2025-09-07 3.315111 3.865871 4.546072 5.472741 6.745723 8.508431 11.294924
2025-09-14 3.056902 3.609714 4.307560 5.284297 6.673524 8.685437 12.070574
2025-09-21 2.870119 3.426703 4.143085 5.170528 6.679591 8.960409 13.043460
2025-09-28 2.730025 3.292357 4.029170 5.110290 6.747657 9.328458 14.251958
2025-10-05 2.626512 3.198225 3.960372 5.104008 6.890201 9.830277 15.838221
2025-10-12 2.568687 3.160611 3.964687 5.201573 7.201962 10.665755 18.369171
2025-10-19 2.509928 3.117177 3.956135 5.276297 7.482112 11.493327 21.222201
2025-10-26 2.438051 3.050875 3.909321 5.285817 7.650105 12.137265 23.927669
2025-11-02 2.344827 2.949601 3.804956 5.194775 7.629487 12.397273 25.719868
2025-11-09 2.243497 2.834844 3.678176 5.064338 7.535197 12.511827 27.241579
2025-11-16 2.164954 2.749901 3.592206 4.995551 7.549305 12.871783 29.819162
2025-11-23 2.121610 2.713676 3.577366 5.043024 7.787349 13.791085 35.134017
2025-11-30 2.072932 2.667153 3.543648 5.054858 7.956426 14.589669 40.849479
2025-12-07 1.986389 2.561233 3.412535 4.888789 7.749463 14.397762 41.855989
2025-12-14 1.920096 2.483222 3.321914 4.788317 7.667814 14.522481 44.705384
2025-12-21 1.868584 2.425399 3.260401 4.735054 7.678325 14.898587 49.486829
2025-12-28 1.830501 2.386373 3.226896 4.729496 7.789319 15.584951 57.414577
2026-01-04 1.813818 2.379001 3.243519 4.815749 8.110546 16.986688 74.293543
2026-01-11 1.793692 2.365450 3.249186 4.881729 8.395439 18.384829 97.434026
2026-01-18 1.763311 2.334920 3.225396 4.890130 8.547863 19.403664 122.818593